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Originally Posted by northwoods
I am looking for a good expalanation why we are seeing such cheap gas. THe fall off in demand just does not seem to be enough to warrent a 2X + reduction. If gas were $4 we would have to pay it. Try this on for size: oil co's drop price way down to eliminate alternatives by forcing them into bankupcy, then buy them up. Price goes back up once this is complete enough for them to control the alternatives market and either shut them down or bring them back when its convinient like when oil price gets so high that demand is choked off and we quit all but essential consumption.
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I don't agree. Oil companies don't set the oil price. The reason gas is so much cheaper is because the speculation bubble burst. People thought they could make money buying oil commodities, and so did everybody else in the last year. So people bought it and bought it, and that drove the price up (on wall street, and other nations' comparable exchanges). Well, just like every other commodity or stock, there's a point where people say ok, this is getting too high and it's overpriced for its actual value. So the bubble burst and everybody sold, sold, sold. Selling drives wall street prices down, on any investment. So I agree that reduced demand can't be all of the reason. But it's not none of it, either. It helps a small percent. The world's downhill economy right now is then picking up the rest.
You also forget that oil companies invest as much money as anybody else in developing alternative fuel sources. Oil companies aren't dumb (at least most of them), they adapt their business to the time. Just like Sony with the VHS players to DVD players, and all of that. They realize that VHS is going downhill in technological advancement (like oil), so they had two choices. Either go out of business when the DVD industry totally took over, or.....start building DVD players! You can bet oil companies are doing the same, they're looking for the next big thing so that they can have their hand in it and not go out of business when oil does. But that doesn't mean by hostile takeover of the start-up businesses, that's more messy and costly than developing it yourself from the get-go.
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