Quote:
Originally Posted by lca13
You can't take a small sample of something, find that there is a good distribution in the sample, and infer that you have precision in the answer. Sometimes you get lucky.... very lucky.
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That's exactly it! How often will you get lucky in Vegas? Statistically, not very often, because that's how Vegas is designed. These tests are similar, but we could get lucky. That being said, given the odds of getting lucky compared to the test being correct, I would go with the test being right because the size of samples compared to the increase and SD indicate it's very likely to be correct. Maybe not... But I never win in Vegas.
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