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The air tabs form a little vortex which acts like a bridge for the air immediately after it so imagine a small (probably a foot long?) bridge on the car that allows the air to jump over places where it would become more tripped up (wheel wells, gaps on trucks, bad windscreen designs and rear windows on 3 box cars).
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Matt, I have yet to come across any study that shows VG's effectiveness at bridging a physical gap (such as wheel openings, etc.) of filling the low pressure zone of a wake.
It's not that they create vortices to "jump" - it's that they put faster moving flow into a boundary layer that is fizzling out as the boundary layer gets thicker and slows down over a length of a body. By moving some higher energy (faster) flow into a unenthused BL, you can decrease the effects separation.
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The summary of this is that air tabs can hurt! if your car is already quite slippery
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The slippery conditions necessary are streamlined conditions (most drag comes as a result of pressure drag - not the wake) - of which, most cars are not. Even so, really long streamlined bodies can benefit too
Most cars, unfortunately, are bluff bodies - where most losses are a result of wake formation. So it's quite beneficial to slightly increase pressure drag for a reduction in wake.
And as always, the devils in the details of application. They work when applied slightly in front of separation caused by low energy boundary layer. As far as decreasing wake effects due to a physical void (wheel arch, end of car, etc.) - it's an open book to be written by the person that does the analysis and scrutinized by everyone else
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Feel free to rip this theory apart, I'm only trying to be helpful and like I said its purely speculation. What do you think?
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Not ripping
The conclusions you drew from your assumptions weren't too far in the outfield
But the initial assumptions were a little off
The interesting thing about the EVO VG's is that they are very different to the air tab design... and very different to other designs
The air tab design is almost like a spoon scoop whereas the EVO's is a delta V (a shape with a whole of engineering background).